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James Madison
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET

6–0 · 36th of 138
Rated +9.2 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.2 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 11.1–0.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 11.6–1.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1924th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0962nd of 138
Success rate44.0%44th of 138
Success allowed41.0%63rd of 138
Explosiveness0.92100th of 138
Defensive havoc16.5%60th of 138
3rd down39.0%82nd of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.0016th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | W 20–13 | +22.4 | — |
| 2 | Sep 12 | W 87–3 | +45.2 | — |
| 3 | Sep 19 | W 26–13 | +13.2 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | W 46–20 | +12.6 | — |
| 5 | Oct 3 | W 45–17 | +29.5 | — |
| 6 | Oct 10 | W 27–24 | +16.6 | — |
| 7 | Oct 17 | proj 38–21 | +16.7 | 86% |
| 8 | Oct 22 | proj 35–19 | +16.3 | 85% |
| 9 | Oct 29 | proj 37–16 | +20.2 | 90% |
| 10 | Nov 5 | proj 39–20 | +19.1 | 89% |
| 11 | Nov 14 | proj 33–27 | +6.5 | 66% |
| 13 | Nov 28 | proj 40–14 | +26.2 | 95% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.