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James Madison

Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET

6–0 · 36th of 138
Rated +9.2 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.2 vs the average game

Projected Record

SourceW–LHow
GordStats11.1–0.9Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left
ESPN FPI11.6–1.3ESPN's simulation of the full schedule

Advanced

Offense EPA/play+0.1924th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0962nd of 138
Success rate44.0%44th of 138
Success allowed41.0%63rd of 138
Explosiveness0.92100th of 138
Defensive havoc16.5%60th of 138
3rd down39.0%82nd of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.0016th of 138

Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.

Schedule

OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1vs LibertySep 5W 20–13+22.4—
2vs WagnerSep 12W 87–3+45.2—
3at San Diego StSep 19W 26–13+13.2—
4at Old DominionSep 26W 46–20+12.6—
5vs MarshallOct 3W 45–17+29.5—
6at GA SouthernOct 10W 27–24+16.6—
7vs Georgia StOct 17proj 38–21+16.786%
8at App StateOct 22proj 35–19+16.385%
9vs TroyOct 29proj 37–16+20.290%
10at Southern MissNov 5proj 39–20+19.189%
11at UConnNov 14proj 33–27+6.566%
13vs CoastalNov 28proj 40–14+26.295%

Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.