Follow teams and keep your fantasy leagues on every device.
Liberty
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 75th of 138
Rated -1.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -2.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.6–2.4 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.6–2.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1729th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0536th of 138
Success rate46.9%19th of 138
Success allowed37.9%26th of 138
Explosiveness0.91112th of 138
Defensive havoc19.1%26th of 138
3rd down45.2%41st of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.5040th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at James Madison | Sep 5 | L 13–20 | -22.4 | — |
2 vs Gardner-Webb | Sep 12 | W 24–23 | +31.6 | — |
3 vs Ball State | Sep 19 | W 51–15 | +15.1 | — |
4 at Coastal | Sep 24 | W 34–17 | -1.0 | — |
5 at Delaware | Oct 2 | W 30–14 | +3.0 | — |
6 vs Sam Houston | Oct 8 | W 35–3 | +12.0 | — |
8 at Kennesaw St | Oct 22 | proj 26–20 | +5.8 | 64% |
9 vs FIU | Oct 31 | proj 28–16 | +11.7 | 77% |
10 at New Mexico St | Nov 7 | proj 28–21 | +7.7 | 69% |
11 vs MTSU | Nov 14 | proj 35–15 | +20.6 | 90% |
12 vs Western KY | Nov 21 | proj 32–19 | +13.0 | 79% |
13 at Missouri St | Nov 28 | proj 31–20 | +11.7 | 77% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.