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MTSU
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
3–3 · 130th of 138
Rated -19.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.8–7.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.9–7.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0599th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.15106th of 138
Success rate37.8%119th of 138
Success allowed47.7%133rd of 138
Explosiveness0.9293rd of 138
Defensive havoc10.5%136th of 138
3rd down26.2%137th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.6733rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Murray St | Sep 5 | W 38–14 | +18.1 | — |
2 at Marshall | Sep 12 | L 26–28 | -12.9 | — |
3 vs Nevada | Sep 19 | W 27–20 | +3.1 | — |
4 at Jax State | Sep 26 | L 13–23 | -12.4 | — |
5 at Kansas | Oct 3 | L 0–55 | -22.6 | — |
7 vs Delaware | Oct 13 | W 33–30 | -2.6 | — |
8 at FIU | Oct 20 | proj 17–28 | -11.8 | 23% |
9 vs Kennesaw St | Oct 28 | proj 21–27 | -6.2 | 35% |
10 vs Western KY | Nov 7 | proj 23–28 | -4.7 | 38% |
11 at Liberty | Nov 14 | proj 15–35 | -20.6 | 10% |
12 at Sam Houston | Nov 21 | proj 22–27 | -4.9 | 38% |
13 vs New Mexico St | Nov 28 | proj 23–27 | -4.3 | 39% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.