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Jax State
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–2 · 99th of 138
Rated -8.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +1.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.2–3.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.4–4.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1067th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1168th of 138
Success rate42.5%54th of 138
Success allowed42.9%88th of 138
Explosiveness0.9375th of 138
Defensive havoc15.0%87th of 138
3rd down46.2%33rd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.57108th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at N Dakota St | Aug 29 | L 7–33 | -9.1 | — |
1 vs E Kentucky | Sep 5 | W 49–7 | +29.3 | — |
2 at Ohio | Sep 12 | L 27–29 | -2.8 | — |
3 vs GA Southern | Sep 19 | W 31–27 | +6.9 | — |
4 vs MTSU | Sep 26 | W 23–13 | +12.4 | — |
6 at Kennesaw St | Oct 7 | W 27–26 | -1.9 | — |
7 vs FIU | Oct 13 | W 27–24 | +5.4 | — |
9 at New Mexico St | Oct 28 | proj 27–26 | +1.2 | 53% |
10 vs Sam Houston | Nov 7 | proj 31–19 | +12.1 | 78% |
11 at Western KY | Nov 14 | proj 27–26 | +0.8 | 52% |
12 vs Missouri St | Nov 21 | proj 33–22 | +11.0 | 76% |
13 at Delaware | Nov 28 | proj 29–26 | +3.5 | 59% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.