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GA Southern
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
3–4 · 87th of 138
Rated -5.2 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.9–6.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.1–6.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1250th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1281st of 138
Success rate42.4%55th of 138
Success allowed41.7%69th of 138
Explosiveness0.9286th of 138
Defensive havoc17.9%34th of 138
3rd down39.2%81st of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.2954th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Charleston So | Sep 5 | W 31–0 | +24.9 | — |
2 at Clemson | Sep 12 | L 7–22 | -19.1 | — |
3 at Jax State | Sep 19 | L 27–31 | -6.9 | — |
4 vs Houston | Sep 26 | L 28–42 | -14.1 | — |
5 at Coastal | Oct 3 | W 31–24 | +4.1 | — |
6 vs James Madison | Oct 10 | L 24–27 | -16.6 | — |
7 at Old Dominion | Oct 15 | W 23–15 | +1.9 | — |
9 vs App State | Oct 31 | proj 29–22 | +7.6 | 68% |
10 vs Marshall | Nov 7 | proj 33–21 | +12.2 | 78% |
11 at Georgia St | Nov 14 | proj 26–30 | -3.5 | 41% |
12 at Troy | Nov 21 | proj 25–25 | +0.0 | 50% |
13 vs Louisiana Tech | Nov 28 | proj 28–27 | +1.5 | 54% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.