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Georgia St
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
4–1 · 86th of 138
Rated -4.6 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +3.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.9–4.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.3–3.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1536th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0648th of 138
Success rate43.3%46th of 138
Success allowed41.1%65th of 138
Explosiveness0.9292nd of 138
Defensive havoc20.3%16th of 138
3rd down50.7%18th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.60115th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs NC A&T | Sep 4 | W 59–10 | +16.1 | — |
2 at Kennesaw St | Sep 12 | W 31–17 | -13.1 | — |
3 at UCF | Sep 19 | L 30–44 | -20.6 | — |
4 vs N Illinois | Sep 26 | W 35–14 | +13.6 | — |
5 vs Old Dominion | Oct 3 | W 42–10 | +0.0 | — |
7 at James Madison | Oct 17 | proj 21–38 | -16.7 | 14% |
8 at Arkansas St | Oct 24 | proj 30–27 | +3.2 | 58% |
9 vs Coastal | Oct 31 | proj 34–22 | +12.4 | 78% |
10 at App State | Nov 7 | proj 29–26 | +2.4 | 56% |
11 vs GA Southern | Nov 14 | proj 30–26 | +3.5 | 59% |
12 at Marshall | Nov 21 | proj 33–26 | +7.1 | 67% |
13 vs Louisiana | Nov 28 | proj 30–25 | +4.5 | 61% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.