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App State
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–2 · 102nd of 138
Rated -9.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.3–5.7 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.3–5.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.03113th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1494th of 138
Success rate37.4%122nd of 138
Success allowed46.7%126th of 138
Explosiveness0.9372nd of 138
Defensive havoc18.5%28th of 138
3rd down31.2%124th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.8025th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Maine | Sep 5 | W 55–3 | +23.3 | — |
2 at East Carolina | Sep 12 | W 27–24 | -12.2 | — |
3 vs Charlotte | Sep 19 | W 26–21 | +21.1 | — |
4 at NC State | Sep 26 | L 31–41 | -17.2 | — |
6 vs Old Dominion | Oct 10 | L 3–10 | +5.3 | — |
7 at Coastal | Oct 16 | proj 26–25 | +1.3 | 53% |
8 vs James Madison | Oct 22 | proj 19–35 | -16.3 | 15% |
9 at GA Southern | Oct 31 | proj 22–29 | -7.6 | 32% |
10 vs Georgia St | Nov 7 | proj 26–29 | -2.4 | 44% |
11 at Marshall | Nov 14 | proj 28–26 | +1.8 | 55% |
12 vs UL Monroe | Nov 21 | proj 35–18 | +17.1 | 86% |
13 at South Alabama | Nov 27 | proj 29–32 | -3.3 | 42% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.