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Coastal
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–4 · 116th of 138
Rated -14.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.0–8.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.1–7.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0790th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1493rd of 138
Success rate37.5%121st of 138
Success allowed45.4%111th of 138
Explosiveness0.9283rd of 138
Defensive havoc15.9%68th of 138
3rd down33.8%112th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.6734th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at West Virginia | Sep 5 | L 24–31 | -13.9 | — |
2 vs Fordham | Sep 12 | W 45–7 | +24.7 | — |
3 at Delaware | Sep 19 | L 14–22 | -6.1 | — |
4 vs Liberty | Sep 24 | L 17–34 | +1.0 | — |
5 vs GA Southern | Oct 3 | L 24–31 | -4.1 | — |
6 at Marshall | Oct 10 | W 27–21 | -2.6 | — |
7 vs App State | Oct 16 | proj 25–26 | -1.3 | 47% |
9 at Georgia St | Oct 31 | proj 22–34 | -12.4 | 22% |
10 vs Old Dominion | Nov 7 | proj 24–23 | +0.7 | 52% |
11 vs Arkansas St | Nov 14 | proj 26–27 | -0.5 | 49% |
12 at Louisiana | Nov 21 | proj 20–31 | -10.8 | 25% |
13 at James Madison | Nov 28 | proj 14–40 | -26.2 | 5% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.