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Marshall
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–3 · 118th of 138
Rated -14.6 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.5–6.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.1–6.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0979th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.23131st of 138
Success rate42.0%58th of 138
Success allowed47.1%128th of 138
Explosiveness0.9290th of 138
Defensive havoc13.1%114th of 138
3rd down40.5%75th of 138
Turnover margin/g-1.50137th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Penn State | Sep 5 | L 0–45 | -22.3 | — |
2 vs MTSU | Sep 12 | W 28–26 | +12.9 | — |
3 at Missouri St | Sep 19 | W 30–24 | -1.1 | — |
4 vs Gardner-Webb | Sep 26 | W 36–35 | +29.8 | — |
5 at James Madison | Oct 3 | L 17–45 | -29.5 | — |
6 vs Coastal | Oct 10 | L 21–27 | +2.6 | — |
8 vs South Alabama | Oct 20 | proj 31–33 | -2.2 | 44% |
9 at Old Dominion | Oct 31 | proj 22–28 | -5.6 | 36% |
10 at GA Southern | Nov 7 | proj 21–33 | -12.2 | 22% |
11 vs App State | Nov 14 | proj 26–28 | -1.8 | 45% |
12 vs Georgia St | Nov 21 | proj 26–33 | -7.1 | 33% |
13 at UL Monroe | Nov 28 | proj 32–25 | +6.6 | 66% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.