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Missouri St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–4 · 123rd of 138
Rated -16.4 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.2–7.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.3–7.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.02118th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.24134th of 138
Success rate38.6%109th of 138
Success allowed49.5%136th of 138
Explosiveness0.90130th of 138
Defensive havoc13.5%107th of 138
3rd down35.1%108th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.1776th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Texas A&M | Sep 5 | L 0–50 | -29.3 | — |
2 vs Lindenwood | Sep 12 | W 48–14 | +24.3 | — |
3 vs Marshall | Sep 19 | L 24–30 | +1.1 | — |
4 at SMU | Sep 26 | L 24–34 | -27.6 | — |
6 at Western KY | Oct 8 | L 13–34 | -3.4 | — |
7 vs Kennesaw St | Oct 14 | W 24–21 | -4.9 | — |
8 at Delaware | Oct 20 | proj 25–29 | -4.6 | 39% |
9 vs Sam Houston | Oct 27 | proj 27–23 | +4.0 | 60% |
10 at FIU | Nov 7 | proj 19–27 | -8.7 | 29% |
11 vs New Mexico St | Nov 14 | proj 25–26 | -1.2 | 47% |
12 at Jax State | Nov 21 | proj 22–33 | -11.0 | 24% |
13 vs Liberty | Nov 28 | proj 20–31 | -11.7 | 23% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.