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FIU
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

3–3 · 105th of 138
Rated -10.6 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -7.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.4–5.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.6–5.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.02121st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0116th of 138
Success rate38.9%105th of 138
Success allowed37.8%24th of 138
Explosiveness0.89134th of 138
Defensive havoc17.6%38th of 138
3rd down46.4%32nd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.1783rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | L 9–19 | -21.7 | — |
| 2 | Sep 12 | W 33–20 | +14.4 | — |
| 3 | Sep 19 | L 10–16 | +1.4 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | W 20–3 | +30.4 | — |
| 6 | Oct 7 | W 22–3 | +2.2 | — |
| 7 | Oct 13 | L 24–27 | -5.4 | — |
| 8 | Oct 20 | proj 28–17 | +11.8 | 77% |
| 9 | Oct 31 | proj 16–28 | -11.7 | 23% |
| 10 | Nov 7 | proj 27–19 | +8.7 | 71% |
| 11 | Nov 14 | proj 24–23 | +1.2 | 53% |
| 12 | Nov 21 | proj 19–22 | -3.1 | 42% |
| 13 | Nov 28 | proj 26–16 | +9.7 | 73% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.