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FIU

Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

3–3 · 105th of 138
Rated -10.6 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -7.1 vs the average game

Projected Record

SourceW–LHow
GordStats6.4–5.6Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left
ESPN FPI6.6–5.5ESPN's simulation of the full schedule

Advanced

Offense EPA/play+0.02121st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0116th of 138
Success rate38.9%105th of 138
Success allowed37.8%24th of 138
Explosiveness0.89134th of 138
Defensive havoc17.6%38th of 138
3rd down46.4%32nd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.1783rd of 138

Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.

Schedule

OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1at South FloridaSep 5L 9–19-21.7—
2vs BuffaloSep 12W 33–20+14.4—
3at FAUSep 19L 10–16+1.4—
4vs Long IslandSep 26W 20–3+30.4—
6vs New Mexico StOct 7W 22–3+2.2—
7at Jax StateOct 13L 24–27-5.4—
8vs MTSUOct 20proj 28–17+11.877%
9at LibertyOct 31proj 16–28-11.723%
10vs Missouri StNov 7proj 27–19+8.771%
11at DelawareNov 14proj 24–23+1.253%
12at Kennesaw StNov 21proj 19–22-3.142%
13vs Sam HoustonNov 28proj 26–16+9.773%

Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.