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New Mexico St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

2–4 · 112th of 138
Rated -12.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.1–6.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.9–7.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.01125th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1171st of 138
Success rate40.1%91st of 138
Success allowed41.9%73rd of 138
Explosiveness0.9443rd of 138
Defensive havoc14.2%98th of 138
3rd down41.0%68th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.83126th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | L 17–34 | -26.8 | — |
| 1 | Sep 5 | W 51–14 | +21.2 | — |
| 2 | Sep 12 | L 19–29 | -6.4 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | L 18–42 | -11.7 | — |
| 5 | Oct 1 | W 34–13 | +1.4 | — |
| 6 | Oct 7 | L 3–22 | -2.2 | — |
| 8 | Oct 21 | proj 25–23 | +2.3 | 56% |
| 9 | Oct 28 | proj 26–27 | -1.2 | 47% |
| 10 | Nov 7 | proj 21–28 | -7.7 | 31% |
| 11 | Nov 14 | proj 26–25 | +1.2 | 53% |
| 12 | Nov 21 | proj 29–23 | +5.2 | 63% |
| 13 | Nov 28 | proj 27–23 | +4.3 | 61% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.