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New Mexico
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
4–1 · 49th of 138
Rated +6.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +1.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.8–2.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.7–2.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1541st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0220th of 138
Success rate40.9%74th of 138
Success allowed37.4%20th of 138
Explosiveness0.984th of 138
Defensive havoc25.8%1st of 138
3rd down42.2%63rd of 138
Turnover margin/g+3.601st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs C Michigan | Sep 5 | W 38–7 | +11.4 | — |
2 vs Mercyhurst | Sep 12 | W 70–7 | +36.9 | — |
3 at Oklahoma | Sep 19 | L 6–14 | -17.9 | — |
4 at New Mexico St | Sep 26 | W 42–18 | +11.7 | — |
5 vs UTEP | Oct 3 | W 61–7 | +24.3 | — |
7 at Hawai'i | Oct 17 | proj 34–17 | +17.6 | 87% |
8 vs N Dakota St | Oct 24 | proj 29–20 | +9.3 | 72% |
9 at San José St | Oct 31 | proj 36–17 | +18.9 | 88% |
10 at Nevada | Nov 6 | proj 33–18 | +14.8 | 82% |
11 vs UNLV | Nov 14 | proj 33–21 | +12.3 | 78% |
12 at Wyoming | Nov 21 | proj 32–11 | +20.5 | 90% |
13 vs Air Force | Nov 28 | proj 35–19 | +15.9 | 84% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.