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UTEP

Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

1–5 · 133rd of 138
Rated -22.7 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.1 vs the average game

Projected Record

SourceW–LHow
GordStats2.6–9.4Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left
ESPN FPI2.4–9.6ESPN's simulation of the full schedule

Advanced

Offense EPA/play-0.07137th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.21127th of 138
Success rate35.1%131st of 138
Success allowed47.5%131st of 138
Explosiveness0.9619th of 138
Defensive havoc12.9%119th of 138
3rd down23.3%138th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.3394th of 138

Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.

Schedule

OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1at OklahomaSep 4L 0–51-33.9—
2vs Texas SouthernSep 12W 51–10+17.8—
3at MichiganSep 19L 17–52-30.8—
4vs Oregon StSep 26L 7–33-5.6—
5at New MexicoOct 3L 7–61-24.3—
6vs NevadaOct 10L 13–30-4.8—
7vs San José StOct 17proj 24–28-4.240%
9at N Dakota StOct 31proj 12–37-25.35%
10vs Hawai'iNov 7proj 23–28-5.536%
11vs WyomingNov 14proj 20–23-2.644%
12at Air ForceNov 20proj 18–36-18.612%
13at N IllinoisNov 28proj 20–29-9.428%

Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.