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Oklahoma
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
3–2 · 15th of 138
Rated +15.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -7.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.0–5.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.9–5.1 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.04110th of 138
Defense EPA/play-0.052nd of 138
Success rate41.4%67th of 138
Success allowed33.9%3rd of 138
Explosiveness0.88136th of 138
Defensive havoc20.5%14th of 138
3rd down30.3%128th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.80125th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs UTEP | Sep 4 | W 51–0 | +33.9 | — |
2 at Michigan | Sep 12 | L 10–17 | +3.3 | — |
3 vs New Mexico | Sep 19 | W 14–6 | +17.9 | — |
4 at Georgia | Sep 26 | L 13–41 | -11.8 | — |
6 vs Texas | Oct 10 | W 27–24 | -6.4 | — |
7 vs Kentucky | Oct 17 | proj 27–20 | +7.1 | 67% |
8 at Mississippi St | Oct 24 | proj 27–26 | +0.7 | 52% |
9 vs South Carolina | Oct 31 | proj 26–20 | +6.3 | 66% |
10 at Florida | Nov 7 | proj 26–24 | +1.4 | 54% |
11 vs Ole Miss | Nov 14 | proj 25–25 | +0.2 | 51% |
12 vs Texas A&M | Nov 21 | proj 25–19 | +5.5 | 64% |
13 at Missouri | Nov 28 | proj 21–23 | -2.2 | 45% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.