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Mississippi St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–1 · 26th of 138
Rated +12.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +7.0 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.5–4.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.6–4.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.229th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0859th of 138
Success rate47.9%11th of 138
Success allowed40.9%59th of 138
Explosiveness0.9446th of 138
Defensive havoc17.2%43rd of 138
3rd down46.0%34th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.60111th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs UL Monroe | Sep 5 | W 62–13 | +25.6 | — |
2 at Minnesota | Sep 12 | W 38–13 | -0.5 | — |
3 at South Carolina | Sep 19 | W 41–34 | -3.2 | — |
4 vs Missouri | Sep 26 | W 31–24 | +4.3 | — |
5 vs Alabama | Oct 3 | L 23–56 | -7.2 | — |
7 at LSU | Oct 17 | proj 24–35 | -10.8 | 25% |
8 vs Oklahoma | Oct 24 | proj 26–27 | -0.7 | 48% |
9 at Texas | Oct 31 | proj 22–35 | -12.9 | 21% |
10 vs Vanderbilt | Nov 7 | proj 36–25 | +10.1 | 74% |
11 vs Auburn | Nov 14 | proj 29–26 | +3.3 | 58% |
12 vs Tennessee Tech | Nov 21 | proj 53–11 | +41.5 | 100% |
13 at Ole Miss | Nov 27 | proj 28–37 | -9.1 | 28% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.