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Ole Miss
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–1 · 11th of 138
Rated +18.6 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +5.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.3–3.7 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.8–4.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2112th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1284th of 138
Success rate50.9%2nd of 138
Success allowed44.1%99th of 138
Explosiveness0.9294th of 138
Defensive havoc16.0%67th of 138
3rd down43.9%49th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.2085th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Louisville | Sep 6 | W 41–38 | +8.9 | — |
2 vs Charlotte | Sep 12 | W 41–9 | +46.3 | — |
3 vs LSU | Sep 19 | W 32–24 | +4.1 | — |
4 at Florida | Sep 26 | L 28–52 | +1.1 | — |
6 at Vanderbilt | Oct 10 | W 52–17 | +2.9 | — |
7 vs Missouri | Oct 17 | proj 31–25 | +6.2 | 65% |
8 at Texas | Oct 24 | proj 24–31 | -6.6 | 34% |
9 vs Auburn | Oct 31 | proj 32–22 | +9.5 | 73% |
10 vs Georgia | Nov 7 | proj 27–32 | -5.7 | 36% |
11 at Oklahoma | Nov 14 | proj 25–25 | -0.2 | 49% |
12 vs Wofford | Nov 21 | proj 60–6 | +53.6 | 100% |
13 vs Mississippi St | Nov 27 | proj 37–28 | +9.1 | 72% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.