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Michigan
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–2 · 32nd of 138
Rated +11.2 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -5.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.2–5.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.2–5.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0977th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0221st of 138
Success rate42.0%57th of 138
Success allowed36.8%14th of 138
Explosiveness0.91106th of 138
Defensive havoc16.9%49th of 138
3rd down40.7%72nd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.80123rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs W Michigan | Sep 5 | W 13–12 | +23.5 | — |
2 vs Oklahoma | Sep 12 | W 17–10 | -3.3 | — |
3 vs UTEP | Sep 19 | W 52–17 | +30.8 | — |
4 vs Iowa | Sep 26 | L 19–20 | +1.2 | — |
5 at Minnesota | Oct 3 | L 14–20 | +4.9 | — |
7 vs Penn State | Oct 17 | proj 25–21 | +4.2 | 61% |
8 vs Indiana | Oct 24 | proj 17–29 | -11.7 | 23% |
9 at Rutgers | Oct 31 | proj 33–19 | +13.7 | 81% |
10 vs Michigan St | Nov 7 | proj 28–16 | +11.9 | 77% |
11 at Oregon | Nov 14 | proj 19–31 | -12.6 | 21% |
12 vs UCLA | Nov 21 | proj 23–24 | -1.5 | 46% |
13 at Ohio State | Nov 28 | proj 14–32 | -18.7 | 12% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.