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Oregon
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–2 · 9th of 138
Rated +20.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.9 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.1–3.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.9–4.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0787th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0113th of 138
Success rate39.7%97th of 138
Success allowed36.4%10th of 138
Explosiveness0.91111th of 138
Defensive havoc16.2%62nd of 138
3rd down42.2%62nd of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.2057th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Boise St | Sep 5 | W 34–27 | +21.2 | — |
2 at Oklahoma St | Sep 12 | L 31–39 | +32.0 | — |
3 vs Portland St | Sep 18 | W 84–0 | +52.7 | — |
4 at USC | Sep 26 | W 41–27 | +2.7 | — |
6 vs UCLA | Oct 10 | L 15–17 | +10.2 | — |
7 vs Nebraska | Oct 17 | proj 33–23 | +9.8 | 73% |
8 at Illinois | Oct 24 | proj 34–24 | +10.7 | 75% |
9 vs Northwestern | Oct 31 | proj 32–20 | +12.5 | 79% |
10 at Ohio State | Nov 7 | proj 23–32 | -9.0 | 29% |
11 vs Michigan | Nov 14 | proj 31–19 | +12.6 | 79% |
12 at Michigan St | Nov 20 | proj 35–19 | +15.9 | 84% |
13 vs Washington | Nov 28 | proj 37–17 | +19.3 | 89% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.