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Oklahoma St

Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

4–1 · 48th of 138
Rated +6.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.8 vs the average game

Projected Record

SourceW–LHow
GordStats6.9–5.1Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left
ESPN FPI7.7–4.4ESPN's simulation of the full schedule

Advanced

Offense EPA/play+0.1071st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0858th of 138
Success rate46.0%25th of 138
Success allowed42.4%81st of 138
Explosiveness0.88138th of 138
Defensive havoc15.3%82nd of 138
3rd down33.9%111th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.60112th of 138

Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.

Schedule

OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1at TulsaSep 5L 10–24-0.8—
2vs OregonSep 12W 39–31-32.0—
3vs Murray StSep 19W 59–0+30.0—
4at West VirginiaSep 26W 41–24-7.2—
6vs UCFOct 10W 42–28-1.6—
7at HoustonOct 17proj 20–34-13.420%
8vs ColoradoOct 24proj 30–20+10.074%
9at Iowa StateOct 31proj 24–28-3.840%
10at Kansas StNov 7proj 25–31-5.935%
11vs Texas TechNov 14proj 22–31-9.428%
12at Arizona StNov 21proj 27–28-1.147%
13vs KansasNov 28proj 27–27-0.150%

Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.