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Oklahoma St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

4–1 · 48th of 138
Rated +6.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.9–5.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.7–4.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1071st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0858th of 138
Success rate46.0%25th of 138
Success allowed42.4%81st of 138
Explosiveness0.88138th of 138
Defensive havoc15.3%82nd of 138
3rd down33.9%111th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.60112th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | L 10–24 | -0.8 | — |
| 2 | Sep 12 | W 39–31 | -32.0 | — |
| 3 | Sep 19 | W 59–0 | +30.0 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | W 41–24 | -7.2 | — |
| 6 | Oct 10 | W 42–28 | -1.6 | — |
| 7 | Oct 17 | proj 20–34 | -13.4 | 20% |
| 8 | Oct 24 | proj 30–20 | +10.0 | 74% |
| 9 | Oct 31 | proj 24–28 | -3.8 | 40% |
| 10 | Nov 7 | proj 25–31 | -5.9 | 35% |
| 11 | Nov 14 | proj 22–31 | -9.4 | 28% |
| 12 | Nov 21 | proj 27–28 | -1.1 | 47% |
| 13 | Nov 28 | proj 27–27 | -0.1 | 50% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.