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UCF
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–3 · 47th of 138
Rated +6.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.1–5.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.1–5.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1065th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0326th of 138
Success rate40.8%76th of 138
Success allowed41.1%64th of 138
Explosiveness0.9296th of 138
Defensive havoc15.1%85th of 138
3rd down35.6%107th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.6731st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Bethune | Sep 3 | W 73–6 | +33.9 | — |
2 at Pitt | Sep 12 | L 7–12 | -11.0 | — |
3 vs Georgia St | Sep 19 | W 44–30 | +20.6 | — |
4 vs TCU | Sep 26 | W 21–13 | +1.8 | — |
5 at Houston | Oct 3 | L 17–27 | -7.8 | — |
6 at Oklahoma St | Oct 10 | L 28–42 | +1.6 | — |
8 vs BYU | Oct 24 | proj 22–27 | -5.2 | 37% |
9 vs Baylor | Oct 30 | proj 27–26 | +0.8 | 52% |
10 at Kansas | Nov 7 | proj 24–29 | -5.3 | 37% |
11 vs Arizona St | Nov 14 | proj 29–24 | +5.2 | 63% |
12 vs Iowa State | Nov 20 | proj 26–24 | +2.4 | 56% |
13 at Colorado | Nov 28 | proj 26–22 | +4.8 | 62% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.