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TCU
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–3 · 43rd of 138
Rated +7.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -3.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.9–7.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.0–7.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.05104th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0011th of 138
Success rate38.5%112th of 138
Success allowed38.8%29th of 138
Explosiveness0.91117th of 138
Defensive havoc17.5%41st of 138
3rd down40.9%70th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.4096th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs North Carolina | Aug 29 | L 10–15 | +3.8* | — |
2 vs Grambling | Sep 12 | W 63–7 | +42.0 | — |
3 vs Arkansas St | Sep 19 | W 31–7 | +20.4 | — |
4 at UCF | Sep 26 | L 13–21 | -1.8 | — |
5 vs BYU | Oct 3 | L 10–17 | -5.2 | — |
7 at Baylor | Oct 17 | proj 23–27 | -4.4 | 39% |
8 vs West Virginia | Oct 24 | proj 34–23 | +11.1 | 76% |
9 vs Kansas | Oct 31 | proj 25–25 | +0.9 | 52% |
10 at Arizona | Nov 6 | proj 20–30 | -9.6 | 27% |
11 vs Kansas St | Nov 14 | proj 26–25 | +0.9 | 52% |
12 vs Utah | Nov 21 | proj 20–31 | -11.4 | 24% |
13 at Texas Tech | Nov 26 | proj 17–32 | -14.1 | 19% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. * No call was on record for that game: today's model, which has seen the result. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.