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Arizona
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 20th of 138
Rated +14.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.9 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.5–3.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.3–3.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1921st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0645th of 138
Success rate44.7%37th of 138
Success allowed40.0%41st of 138
Explosiveness0.9451st of 138
Defensive havoc16.1%63rd of 138
3rd down55.6%3rd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.50103rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs N Arizona | Sep 5 | W 35–7 | +43.8 | — |
2 at BYU | Sep 12 | L 17–28 | -12.0 | — |
3 vs N Illinois | Sep 19 | W 42–17 | +30.5 | — |
4 at Washington St | Sep 26 | W 34–24 | +2.6 | — |
5 vs Cincinnati | Oct 3 | W 34–7 | +6.4 | — |
6 at West Virginia | Oct 10 | W 52–31 | +9.1 | — |
8 vs Iowa State | Oct 24 | proj 31–21 | +9.6 | 73% |
9 at Texas Tech | Oct 31 | proj 23–31 | -7.4 | 32% |
10 vs TCU | Nov 6 | proj 30–20 | +9.6 | 73% |
11 vs Utah | Nov 14 | proj 26–30 | -4.7 | 38% |
12 at Kansas St | Nov 21 | proj 29–27 | +1.8 | 54% |
13 vs Arizona St | Nov 28 | proj 33–21 | +12.4 | 78% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.