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Cincinnati
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–1 · 51st of 138
Rated +5.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.5–5.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.4–5.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1446th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1492nd of 138
Success rate40.2%86th of 138
Success allowed44.2%101st of 138
Explosiveness0.985th of 138
Defensive havoc16.0%65th of 138
3rd down48.4%25th of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.0013th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Boston College | Sep 5 | W 34–15 | +12.3 | — |
2 vs W Carolina | Sep 12 | W 62–10 | +42.4 | — |
3 vs Miami OH | Sep 19 | W 35–31 | +20.4 | — |
4 vs Kansas St | Sep 26 | W 31–26 | -3.8 | — |
5 at Arizona | Oct 3 | L 7–34 | -6.4 | — |
7 at West Virginia | Oct 17 | proj 33–29 | +3.4 | 58% |
8 vs Texas Tech | Oct 24 | proj 22–33 | -10.3 | 26% |
9 vs Utah | Oct 31 | proj 22–35 | -13.4 | 20% |
10 at Houston | Nov 7 | proj 21–35 | -14.4 | 18% |
11 at Iowa State | Nov 14 | proj 24–29 | -4.8 | 38% |
12 vs Colorado | Nov 21 | proj 30–21 | +9.1 | 72% |
13 at BYU | Nov 28 | proj 20–32 | -12.5 | 22% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.