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Boston College
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–3 · 90th of 138
Rated -5.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -4.0 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.3–8.7 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 3.2–8.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.03117th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0534th of 138
Success rate37.9%118th of 138
Success allowed39.5%32nd of 138
Explosiveness0.9524th of 138
Defensive havoc18.2%32nd of 138
3rd down31.8%118th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.0075th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Cincinnati | Sep 5 | L 15–34 | -12.3 | — |
2 vs Rutgers | Sep 11 | W 28–21 | +6.6 | — |
3 vs Maine | Sep 19 | W 22–16 | +33.6 | — |
4 vs Virginia Tech | Sep 26 | L 14–21 | -11.0 | — |
5 at SMU | Oct 3 | L 16–25 | -18.4 | — |
7 vs Pitt | Oct 17 | proj 17–31 | -14.1 | 19% |
8 at Georgia Tech | Oct 24 | proj 19–30 | -10.7 | 25% |
9 at Duke | Oct 31 | proj 16–33 | -16.3 | 15% |
10 vs Florida St | Nov 7 | proj 19–29 | -10.0 | 26% |
11 at Notre Dame | Nov 14 | proj 8–45 | -36.6 | 1% |
12 vs Syracuse | Nov 21 | proj 24–26 | -2.0 | 45% |
13 at Miami | Nov 28 | proj 9–43 | -33.9 | 2% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.