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Duke
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–1 · 41st of 138
Rated +7.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.7 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.7–4.3 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.5–4.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1156th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0643rd of 138
Success rate39.7%99th of 138
Success allowed41.5%67th of 138
Explosiveness0.978th of 138
Defensive havoc16.8%53rd of 138
3rd down47.1%30th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.2056th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Tulane | Sep 5 | W 17–3 | +2.3 | — |
2 at Illinois | Sep 12 | W 31–27 | -1.8 | — |
3 vs Stanford | Sep 19 | W 35–7 | +18.1 | — |
4 vs William & Mary | Sep 26 | W 62–7 | +46.4 | — |
6 at Georgia Tech | Oct 10 | L 25–28 | +4.1 | — |
7 vs North Carolina | Oct 17 | proj 27–21 | +6.6 | 66% |
8 at Virginia | Oct 23 | proj 26–26 | +0.1 | 50% |
9 vs Boston College | Oct 31 | proj 33–16 | +16.3 | 85% |
10 at NC State | Nov 7 | proj 30–27 | +2.6 | 57% |
11 at Miami | Nov 14 | proj 17–38 | -20.5 | 10% |
12 vs Clemson | Nov 20 | proj 29–22 | +7.0 | 67% |
13 at Wake Forest | Nov 28 | proj 23–31 | -7.7 | 31% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.