North Carolina
North Carolina ratings, schedule and projected results

North Carolina
Rated -1.4, 77th of 137 FBS teams
Rating
-1.4
points vs an average FBS team
Rank
77 of 137
by this model
Record
1–0
1 game played
Scoring
-5.1
points of shootout vs the average game
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs TCU | 29 Aug | W 15–10 | -6.7 | — |
2 vs ETSU | 12 Sep | proj 40–10 | +29.6 | 97% |
3 at Clemson | 19 Sep | proj 16–31 | -15.5 | 17% |
5 vs Notre Dame | 3 Oct | proj 12–38 | -25.1 | 6% |
6 at Pitt | 10 Oct | proj 19–32 | -13.3 | 21% |
7 at Duke | 17 Oct | proj 20–31 | -11.4 | 24% |
8 vs Syracuse | 24 Oct | proj 29–20 | +8.7 | 70% |
9 vs Miami | 31 Oct | proj 14–32 | -18.2 | 13% |
10 at UConn | 7 Nov | proj 24–27 | -3.8 | 41% |
11 vs Louisville | 14 Nov | proj 19–28 | -9.2 | 28% |
12 at Virginia | 21 Nov | proj 16–30 | -14.0 | 19% |
13 vs NC State | 28 Nov | proj 25–24 | +1.0 | 52% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is the margin this model gives the game, from this team's point of view, and it is shown for played games too so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.
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