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UConn
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–3 · 68th of 138
Rated -0.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +5.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.0–5.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.0–6.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1064th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1388th of 138
Success rate40.7%77th of 138
Success allowed46.0%119th of 138
Explosiveness0.9453rd of 138
Defensive havoc16.1%64th of 138
3rd down41.9%65th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.0074th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Lafayette | Sep 5 | W 56–7 | +33.5 | — |
2 vs Maryland | Sep 12 | L 14–38 | +3.2 | — |
3 at Southern Miss | Sep 19 | W 48–20 | +2.8 | — |
4 at Miami OH | Sep 26 | L 21–24 | +4.0 | — |
5 vs Syracuse | Oct 3 | L 41–42 | +5.6 | — |
6 at Temple | Oct 10 | W 34–20 | +2.4 | — |
8 vs UMass | Oct 23 | proj 39–17 | +22.0 | 92% |
9 at Air Force | Oct 31 | proj 30–26 | +4.0 | 60% |
10 vs North Carolina | Nov 7 | proj 26–27 | -1.1 | 47% |
11 vs James Madison | Nov 14 | proj 27–33 | -6.5 | 34% |
12 vs Old Dominion | Nov 21 | proj 34–19 | +14.7 | 82% |
13 at Wyoming | Nov 28 | proj 30–16 | +14.3 | 82% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.