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Maryland
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–4 · 77th of 138
Rated -2.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.1–7.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 3.8–8.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.03116th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0860th of 138
Success rate38.3%114th of 138
Success allowed40.6%50th of 138
Explosiveness0.9452nd of 138
Defensive havoc15.6%76th of 138
3rd down34.2%110th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.3351st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Hampton | Sep 5 | W 62–0 | +32.3 | — |
2 at UConn | Sep 12 | W 38–14 | -3.2 | — |
3 vs Virginia Tech | Sep 19 | L 26–35 | +2.7 | — |
4 vs UCLA | Sep 26 | L 3–54 | +4.7 | — |
5 at Nebraska | Oct 3 | L 23–48 | -15.3 | — |
6 at Ohio State | Oct 10 | L 16–45 | -32.3 | — |
7 vs Rutgers | Oct 17 | proj 33–27 | +6.2 | 65% |
9 vs Illinois | Oct 31 | proj 25–32 | -6.5 | 34% |
10 at Purdue | Nov 7 | proj 26–33 | -6.8 | 33% |
11 vs Wisconsin | Nov 14 | proj 20–28 | -7.2 | 32% |
12 at USC | Nov 21 | proj 21–39 | -18.3 | 12% |
13 vs Penn State | Nov 28 | proj 22–31 | -9.0 | 28% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.