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Purdue
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–3 · 65th of 138
Rated +1.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +3.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.0–7.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.1–6.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2018th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.18119th of 138
Success rate45.6%27th of 138
Success allowed43.9%96th of 138
Explosiveness0.9439th of 138
Defensive havoc13.8%104th of 138
3rd down45.3%38th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.1763rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Indiana St | Sep 4 | W 44–19 | +25.8 | — |
2 vs Wake Forest | Sep 12 | L 36–38 | -7.8 | — |
3 at UCLA | Sep 19 | L 38–52 | -16.1 | — |
4 vs Notre Dame | Sep 26 | L 10–49 | -31.0 | — |
5 at Illinois | Oct 3 | W 24–17 | -17.2 | — |
6 vs Minnesota | Oct 10 | W 41–13 | -4.2 | — |
7 vs Washington | Oct 16 | proj 27–27 | +0.2 | 51% |
9 at Penn State | Oct 31 | proj 22–33 | -10.9 | 25% |
10 vs Maryland | Nov 7 | proj 33–26 | +6.8 | 67% |
11 at Iowa | Nov 14 | proj 16–35 | -18.9 | 12% |
12 vs Wisconsin | Nov 21 | proj 23–26 | -3.3 | 42% |
13 at Indiana | Nov 28 | proj 14–41 | -26.8 | 5% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.