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Illinois
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
3–3 · 42nd of 138
Rated +7.4 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.2–6.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.9–7.1 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1730th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.26137th of 138
Success rate47.3%15th of 138
Success allowed45.5%113th of 138
Explosiveness0.9378th of 138
Defensive havoc12.3%127th of 138
3rd down44.8%42nd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.1781st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs UAB | Sep 3 | W 42–23 | +25.4 | — |
2 vs Duke | Sep 12 | L 27–31 | +1.8 | — |
3 vs S Illinois | Sep 19 | W 48–10 | +42.1 | — |
4 at Ohio State | Sep 26 | L 19–42 | -25.6 | — |
5 vs Purdue | Oct 3 | L 17–24 | +17.2 | — |
6 at Michigan St | Oct 10 | W 38–37 | +2.1 | — |
8 vs Oregon | Oct 24 | proj 24–34 | -10.7 | 25% |
9 at Maryland | Oct 31 | proj 32–25 | +6.5 | 66% |
10 vs Nebraska | Nov 6 | proj 26–29 | -3.7 | 41% |
11 at UCLA | Nov 13 | proj 22–33 | -11.1 | 24% |
12 vs Iowa | Nov 21 | proj 21–29 | -7.6 | 32% |
13 at Northwestern | Nov 28 | proj 23–29 | -6.8 | 33% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.