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Ohio State
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 4th of 138
Rated +27.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.9 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.4–2.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.1–2.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2114th of 138
Defense EPA/play-0.018th of 138
Success rate49.2%5th of 138
Success allowed36.9%16th of 138
Explosiveness0.9382nd of 138
Defensive havoc18.7%27th of 138
3rd down45.2%40th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.3346th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Ball State | Sep 5 | W 56–3 | +51.2 | — |
2 at Texas | Sep 12 | L 23–24 | +2.6 | — |
3 vs Kent State | Sep 19 | W 59–3 | +56.3 | — |
4 vs Illinois | Sep 26 | W 42–19 | +25.6 | — |
5 at Iowa | Oct 3 | W 31–14 | +6.2 | — |
6 vs Maryland | Oct 10 | W 45–16 | +32.3 | — |
7 at Indiana | Oct 17 | proj 24–26 | -1.7 | 46% |
9 at USC | Oct 31 | proj 34–23 | +10.8 | 75% |
10 vs Oregon | Nov 7 | proj 32–23 | +9.0 | 71% |
11 vs Northwestern | Nov 14 | proj 34–15 | +18.6 | 88% |
12 at Nebraska | Nov 21 | proj 31–21 | +10.2 | 74% |
13 vs Michigan | Nov 28 | proj 32–14 | +18.7 | 88% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.