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NC State
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
3–3 · 62nd of 138
Rated +2.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +4.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.2–5.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.8–6.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0885th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.19124th of 138
Success rate40.3%84th of 138
Success allowed44.9%107th of 138
Explosiveness0.91120th of 138
Defensive havoc16.0%66th of 138
3rd down51.7%12th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.1778th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Virginia | Aug 29 | L 8–34 | -5.5 | — |
2 vs Richmond | Sep 11 | W 73–0 | +37.7 | — |
3 at Vanderbilt | Sep 19 | L 31–35 | -5.6 | — |
4 vs App State | Sep 26 | W 41–31 | +17.2 | — |
5 vs Louisville | Oct 3 | W 31–28 | -1.4 | — |
6 vs Wake Forest | Oct 10 | L 14–38 | -3.0 | — |
8 at Stanford | Oct 23 | proj 34–24 | +11.0 | 76% |
9 vs California | Oct 31 | proj 32–24 | +8.6 | 71% |
10 vs Duke | Nov 7 | proj 27–30 | -2.6 | 43% |
11 vs Syracuse | Nov 14 | proj 32–26 | +5.9 | 65% |
12 at Florida St | Nov 21 | proj 25–32 | -7.8 | 31% |
13 at North Carolina | Nov 28 | proj 24–28 | -4.7 | 38% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.