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Pitt
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 33rd of 138
Rated +11.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.6–3.4 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.6–3.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0788th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0325th of 138
Success rate39.9%95th of 138
Success allowed37.0%18th of 138
Explosiveness0.9380th of 138
Defensive havoc17.9%33rd of 138
3rd down45.7%36th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.8323rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Miami OH | Sep 5 | W 59–14 | +15.7 | — |
2 vs UCF | Sep 12 | W 12–7 | +11.0 | — |
3 vs Syracuse | Sep 17 | W 27–13 | +18.0 | — |
4 vs Bucknell | Sep 26 | W 59–0 | +48.3 | — |
5 at Virginia Tech | Oct 2 | W 35–33 | +4.2 | — |
6 vs North Carolina | Oct 10 | L 17–21 | +13.1 | — |
7 at Boston College | Oct 17 | proj 31–17 | +14.1 | 81% |
8 at Miami | Oct 24 | proj 19–36 | -16.9 | 14% |
9 vs Georgia Tech | Oct 31 | proj 33–21 | +12.1 | 78% |
11 vs Florida St | Nov 13 | proj 30–23 | +7.0 | 67% |
12 at Louisville | Nov 21 | proj 27–30 | -3.5 | 41% |
13 at California | Nov 28 | proj 32–20 | +11.9 | 77% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.