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SMU
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–1 · 46th of 138
Rated +6.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.0–4.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.2–4.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1161st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1283rd of 138
Success rate45.0%33rd of 138
Success allowed40.1%43rd of 138
Explosiveness0.90122nd of 138
Defensive havoc21.6%5th of 138
3rd down51.6%13th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.80124th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Florida St | Sep 7 | W 27–24 | +2.4 | — |
2 vs UC Davis | Sep 12 | W 56–10 | +50.3 | — |
3 at Louisville | Sep 19 | L 31–41 | -2.0 | — |
4 vs Missouri St | Sep 26 | W 34–24 | +27.6 | — |
5 vs Boston College | Oct 3 | W 25–16 | +18.4 | — |
7 vs Virginia | Oct 17 | proj 29–24 | +5.1 | 63% |
8 vs California | Oct 24 | proj 34–20 | +13.3 | 80% |
9 at Syracuse | Oct 31 | proj 31–26 | +4.9 | 62% |
10 vs Virginia Tech | Nov 6 | proj 31–26 | +5.3 | 63% |
11 vs Wake Forest | Nov 14 | proj 26–29 | -2.7 | 43% |
12 at Notre Dame | Nov 21 | proj 17–41 | -23.9 | 7% |
13 at Stanford | Nov 28 | proj 36–20 | +15.7 | 84% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.