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Kansas St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–2 · 35th of 138
Rated +9.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.0 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.9–5.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.8–5.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1445th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.15104th of 138
Success rate44.8%36th of 138
Success allowed41.0%61st of 138
Explosiveness0.9376th of 138
Defensive havoc19.8%21st of 138
3rd down61.6%2nd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.40100th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Nicholls | Sep 5 | W 71–3 | +41.7 | — |
2 vs Washington St | Sep 12 | W 34–7 | +11.1 | — |
3 vs Tulane | Sep 19 | W 31–20 | +13.9 | — |
4 at Cincinnati | Sep 26 | L 26–31 | +3.8 | — |
6 vs Houston | Oct 10 | L 16–35 | -0.6 | — |
7 vs Kansas | Oct 17 | proj 29–26 | +3.0 | 57% |
8 at Arizona St | Oct 24 | proj 29–27 | +1.9 | 55% |
9 at Colorado | Oct 31 | proj 29–22 | +7.3 | 68% |
10 vs Oklahoma St | Nov 7 | proj 31–25 | +5.9 | 65% |
11 at TCU | Nov 14 | proj 25–26 | -0.9 | 48% |
12 vs Arizona | Nov 21 | proj 27–29 | -1.8 | 46% |
13 at Iowa State | Nov 28 | proj 26–27 | -0.8 | 48% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.