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N Illinois
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
0–5 · 122nd of 138
Rated -16.2 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -5.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 2.9–9.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 2.3–9.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.01124th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.16108th of 138
Success rate39.2%102nd of 138
Success allowed45.9%117th of 138
Explosiveness0.9362nd of 138
Defensive havoc10.4%137th of 138
3rd down31.3%122nd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.2089th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Iowa | Sep 5 | L 0–40 | -31.3 | — |
2 vs Illinois St | Sep 12 | L 24–28 | +21.4 | — |
3 at Arizona | Sep 19 | L 17–42 | -30.5 | — |
4 at Georgia St | Sep 26 | L 14–35 | -13.6 | — |
6 vs Air Force | Oct 10 | L 7–28 | -5.1 | — |
7 at Wyoming | Oct 17 | proj 17–19 | -1.8 | 45% |
8 vs Hawai'i | Oct 24 | proj 22–21 | +1.0 | 53% |
9 at UNLV | Oct 31 | proj 15–31 | -15.8 | 16% |
10 at San José St | Nov 7 | proj 21–24 | -3.4 | 41% |
11 vs Nevada | Nov 14 | proj 21–23 | -1.8 | 46% |
12 at N Dakota St | Nov 21 | proj 11–30 | -18.8 | 12% |
13 vs UTEP | Nov 28 | proj 29–20 | +9.4 | 72% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.