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N Dakota St
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
5–1 · 69th of 138
Rated -0.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -5.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.5–2.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 9.4–3.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0974th of 138
Defense EPA/play-0.017th of 138
Success rate40.1%93rd of 138
Success allowed39.5%33rd of 138
Explosiveness0.9447th of 138
Defensive havoc17.1%45th of 138
3rd down41.6%67th of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.0012th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Jax State | Aug 29 | W 33–7 | +9.1 | — |
1 vs Fordham | Sep 5 | W 38–0 | +47.3 | — |
2 at Air Force | Sep 12 | W 38–32 | +9.6 | — |
3 at Sacramento St | Sep 19 | W 31–10 | +19.1 | — |
5 vs Wyoming | Oct 3 | W 28–0 | +17.8 | — |
6 at UNLV | Oct 10 | L 7–13 | +0.2 | — |
7 vs Nevada | Oct 17 | proj 29–15 | +14.1 | 81% |
8 at New Mexico | Oct 24 | proj 20–29 | -9.3 | 28% |
9 vs UTEP | Oct 31 | proj 37–12 | +25.3 | 95% |
11 at Hawai'i | Nov 14 | proj 27–16 | +11.2 | 76% |
12 vs N Illinois | Nov 21 | proj 30–11 | +18.8 | 88% |
13 at San José St | Nov 27 | proj 29–16 | +12.5 | 79% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.