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Nevada
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–3 · 108th of 138
Rated -11.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -2.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.5–7.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.8–7.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1251st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.15105th of 138
Success rate40.9%73rd of 138
Success allowed40.6%52nd of 138
Explosiveness0.9612th of 138
Defensive havoc12.6%123rd of 138
3rd down35.9%100th of 138
Turnover margin/g-1.20135th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Western KY | Sep 5 | W 49–14 | -5.5 | — |
2 vs Montana St | Sep 12 | L 7–20 | +29.8 | — |
3 at MTSU | Sep 19 | L 20–27 | -3.1 | — |
4 vs Air Force | Sep 26 | L 33–36 | -5.4 | — |
6 at UTEP | Oct 10 | W 30–13 | +4.8 | — |
7 at N Dakota St | Oct 17 | proj 15–29 | -14.1 | 19% |
8 vs San José St | Oct 24 | proj 27–20 | +7.0 | 67% |
9 at UCLA | Oct 31 | proj 10–40 | -30.0 | 3% |
10 vs New Mexico | Nov 6 | proj 18–33 | -14.8 | 18% |
11 at N Illinois | Nov 14 | proj 23–21 | +1.8 | 54% |
12 vs Hawai'i | Nov 21 | proj 26–20 | +5.7 | 64% |
13 at UNLV | Nov 28 | proj 19–30 | -11.1 | 24% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.