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Western KY
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–4 · 110th of 138
Rated -11.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.5–6.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.5–6.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.00128th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.16110th of 138
Success rate38.2%115th of 138
Success allowed42.2%76th of 138
Explosiveness0.91114th of 138
Defensive havoc15.6%75th of 138
3rd down40.7%73rd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.43101st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Nevada | Sep 5 | L 14–49 | +5.5 | — |
2 at Georgia | Sep 12 | L 20–70 | -32.1 | — |
3 at Indiana | Sep 19 | L 0–38 | -45.1 | — |
4 vs Mercyhurst | Sep 26 | W 52–7 | +25.9 | — |
5 at New Mexico St | Oct 1 | L 13–34 | -1.4 | — |
6 vs Missouri St | Oct 8 | W 34–13 | +3.4 | — |
7 at Sam Houston | Oct 14 | W 16–3 | +0.8 | — |
9 vs Delaware | Oct 27 | proj 29–24 | +5.6 | 64% |
10 at MTSU | Nov 7 | proj 28–23 | +4.7 | 62% |
11 vs Jax State | Nov 14 | proj 26–27 | -0.8 | 48% |
12 at Liberty | Nov 21 | proj 19–32 | -13.0 | 21% |
13 vs Kennesaw St | Nov 28 | proj 25–24 | +1.4 | 54% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.