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Sam Houston
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
1–5 · 127th of 138
Rated -17.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -3.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.4–8.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 3.3–8.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.02119th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1598th of 138
Success rate40.7%78th of 138
Success allowed43.9%95th of 138
Explosiveness0.9367th of 138
Defensive havoc19.8%20th of 138
3rd down37.2%92nd of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.1758th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Troy | Sep 5 | L 21–24 | -17.3 | — |
2 vs Tulsa | Sep 12 | L 17–23 | -1.9 | — |
3 vs Nicholls | Sep 19 | W 59–0 | +18.9 | — |
4 at Texas Tech | Sep 26 | L 14–49 | -31.8 | — |
6 at Liberty | Oct 8 | L 3–35 | -12.0 | — |
7 vs Western KY | Oct 14 | L 3–16 | -0.8 | — |
8 vs New Mexico St | Oct 21 | proj 23–25 | -2.3 | 44% |
9 at Missouri St | Oct 27 | proj 23–27 | -4.0 | 40% |
10 at Jax State | Nov 7 | proj 19–31 | -12.1 | 22% |
11 vs Kennesaw St | Nov 14 | proj 21–25 | -4.2 | 40% |
12 vs MTSU | Nov 21 | proj 27–22 | +4.9 | 62% |
13 at FIU | Nov 28 | proj 16–26 | -9.7 | 27% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.