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Troy
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–2 · 98th of 138
Rated -8.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.3–5.7 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.6–5.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1069th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.16107th of 138
Success rate42.6%53rd of 138
Success allowed45.2%109th of 138
Explosiveness0.9440th of 138
Defensive havoc16.5%61st of 138
3rd down38.4%83rd of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.4043rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Sam Houston | Sep 5 | W 24–21 | +17.3 | — |
2 vs Alabama St | Sep 12 | W 34–17 | +27.2 | — |
3 at Missouri | Sep 19 | L 17–27 | -27.4 | — |
4 at Utah State | Sep 26 | L 10–21 | -3.7 | — |
6 vs Southern Miss | Oct 6 | W 55–34 | +3.9 | — |
7 at Louisiana | Oct 17 | proj 23–27 | -4.7 | 38% |
8 vs UL Monroe | Oct 24 | proj 36–17 | +18.9 | 88% |
9 at James Madison | Oct 29 | proj 16–37 | -20.2 | 10% |
10 vs Louisiana Tech | Nov 7 | proj 26–28 | -1.4 | 47% |
11 at South Alabama | Nov 14 | proj 29–31 | -1.5 | 46% |
12 vs GA Southern | Nov 21 | proj 25–25 | +0.0 | 50% |
13 at Arkansas St | Nov 28 | proj 26–26 | -0.3 | 49% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.