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Ohio
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–2 · 97th of 138
Rated -7.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.2–3.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.3–4.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0978th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.15102nd of 138
Success rate42.7%51st of 138
Success allowed44.3%102nd of 138
Explosiveness0.90125th of 138
Defensive havoc15.8%71st of 138
3rd down51.8%11th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.67121st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Nebraska | Sep 5 | L 21–49 | -11.1 | — |
2 vs Jax State | Sep 12 | W 29–27 | +2.8 | — |
3 at South Alabama | Sep 19 | L 36–41 | -4.0 | — |
4 vs Stonehill | Sep 26 | W 35–7 | +30.1 | — |
5 at Kent State | Oct 3 | W 13–10 | +14.0 | — |
6 vs C Michigan | Oct 10 | W 31–14 | +9.3 | — |
7 at Sacramento St | Oct 17 | proj 34–17 | +16.5 | 85% |
8 vs E Michigan | Oct 24 | proj 31–19 | +11.7 | 77% |
10 at Akron | Nov 3 | proj 30–21 | +9.2 | 72% |
11 at Miami OH | Nov 10 | proj 24–25 | -0.5 | 49% |
12 vs Ball State | Nov 17 | proj 35–17 | +17.8 | 87% |
13 vs Toledo | Nov 27 | proj 26–27 | -0.8 | 48% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.