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E Michigan
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–3 · 124th of 138
Rated -16.7 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.0–6.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.9–6.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.05105th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.17116th of 138
Success rate41.0%72nd of 138
Success allowed44.7%106th of 138
Explosiveness0.9457th of 138
Defensive havoc17.5%39th of 138
3rd down43.1%56th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.0068th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Sacramento St | Aug 29 | W 28–17 | -1.4 | — |
1 vs San José St | Sep 4 | L 21–27 | +2.1 | — |
2 at Michigan St | Sep 12 | L 7–35 | -18.2 | — |
3 at Wisconsin | Sep 19 | L 10–54 | -20.6 | — |
4 vs Lindenwood | Sep 26 | W 29–3 | +17.3 | — |
5 at UMass | Oct 3 | W 38–14 | -4.8 | — |
6 at Akron | Oct 10 | W 25–23 | +0.4 | — |
7 vs Toledo | Oct 17 | proj 22–31 | -9.6 | 27% |
8 at Ohio | Oct 24 | proj 19–31 | -11.7 | 23% |
10 vs C Michigan | Nov 4 | proj 24–23 | +0.4 | 51% |
12 at W Michigan | Nov 17 | proj 17–29 | -12.4 | 22% |
13 vs Kent State | Nov 24 | proj 30–20 | +10.3 | 74% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.