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North Texas
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–2 · 53rd of 138
Rated +4.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +12.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.5–3.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.6–3.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2017th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1491st of 138
Success rate44.1%43rd of 138
Success allowed44.0%97th of 138
Explosiveness0.9615th of 138
Defensive havoc16.8%55th of 138
3rd down48.8%23rd of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.3352nd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Indiana | Sep 5 | L 16–52 | -23.5 | — |
2 vs UNLV | Sep 12 | W 44–6 | +7.4 | — |
3 at Texas St | Sep 19 | L 35–49 | +12.6 | — |
4 vs Hou Christian | Sep 26 | W 63–14 | +43.8 | — |
5 at Tulsa | Oct 1 | W 45–44 | +10.4 | — |
6 vs Charlotte | Oct 10 | W 50–10 | +32.3 | — |
8 at Navy | Oct 24 | proj 34–29 | +5.5 | 64% |
9 vs FAU | Oct 29 | proj 44–28 | +16.2 | 85% |
10 vs Rice | Nov 7 | proj 41–20 | +21.3 | 91% |
11 at UTSA | Nov 14 | proj 36–32 | +3.4 | 59% |
12 at Tulane | Nov 21 | proj 32–27 | +5.1 | 63% |
13 vs UAB | Nov 28 | proj 43–22 | +21.0 | 91% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.