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Army
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
3–2 · 78th of 138
Rated -2.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -4.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.1–4.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.0–5.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1538th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.19123rd of 138
Success rate46.7%21st of 138
Success allowed45.4%110th of 138
Explosiveness0.92104th of 138
Defensive havoc13.2%111th of 138
3rd down50.8%16th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.2088th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Bryant | Sep 5 | W 59–3 | +33.2 | — |
2 vs South Florida | Sep 12 | L 24–28 | -4.2 | — |
4 at Temple | Sep 25 | W 21–17 | +4.6 | — |
5 at Louisiana Tech | Oct 3 | L 29–31 | -0.2 | — |
6 vs Tulane | Oct 10 | W 20–17 | +3.3 | — |
7 vs FAU | Oct 17 | proj 32–23 | +9.2 | 72% |
8 at Tulsa | Oct 23 | proj 25–22 | +2.8 | 57% |
9 at Memphis | Oct 31 | proj 22–30 | -8.5 | 29% |
10 vs Air Force | Nov 7 | proj 28–20 | +7.7 | 69% |
12 vs East Carolina | Nov 21 | proj 26–21 | +4.5 | 61% |
13 at Rice | Nov 28 | proj 26–18 | +8.5 | 70% |
15 vs Navy | Dec 12 | proj 24–23 | +1.7 | 54% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.