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Tennessee
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 18th of 138
Rated +15.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.0–4.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.4–3.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1158th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0217th of 138
Success rate42.2%56th of 138
Success allowed40.6%51st of 138
Explosiveness0.9521st of 138
Defensive havoc21.5%6th of 138
3rd down35.9%101st of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.1764th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Furman | Sep 5 | W 56–9 | +49.0 | — |
2 at Georgia Tech | Sep 12 | W 45–24 | +3.9 | — |
3 vs Kennesaw St | Sep 19 | W 42–9 | +27.2 | — |
4 vs Texas | Sep 26 | L 17–20 | -1.6 | — |
5 vs Auburn | Oct 3 | W 24–14 | +6.4 | — |
6 at Arkansas | Oct 10 | W 24–17 | +11.5 | — |
7 vs Alabama | Oct 17 | proj 23–35 | -11.3 | 24% |
8 at South Carolina | Oct 24 | proj 28–28 | -0.4 | 49% |
10 vs Kentucky | Nov 7 | proj 31–25 | +6.2 | 65% |
11 at Texas A&M | Nov 14 | proj 26–27 | -1.2 | 47% |
12 vs LSU | Nov 21 | proj 26–29 | -2.3 | 44% |
13 at Vanderbilt | Nov 28 | proj 32–25 | +7.0 | 67% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.