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What the Cardinals Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
2% to make the playoffs
3-6 · NFC West · Team page
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
–
1% likely
One more loss
38%
3% likely
Two or more
<1%
97% likely
Winning out is rare in our runs (56 of 10,000), so its odds there are rough.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RamsSun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET | 19% | 6% | <1% | – |
| at ChiefsSun, Nov 22 | 17% | 5% | 1% | – |
| vs CommandersSun, Nov 29 | 35% | 4% | <1% | – |
| vs EaglesSun, Dec 6 | 46% | 4% | <1% | – |
| vs JetsSun, Dec 20 | 44% | 3% | <1% | – |
| at SaintsSun, Dec 27 | 32% | 4% | <1% | – |
| vs RaidersSun, Jan 3 | 41% | 3% | <1% | – |
| vs 49ersSun, Jan 10 | 35% | 6% | <1% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the NFC West | <1% | – |
| Does not win it | >99% | 2% |
Who to Root For
No other game's result moves its chance by more than the simulations can tell apart from chance.
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 2% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 1% |
| Reaches the conference title game | <1% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | <1% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | <1% |