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What the Raiders Need
2026 NFL playoffs · 10,000 simulations
Updated Fri, Nov 13 · 6:27 PM ET
11% to make the playoffs
4-5 · AFC West · Team page
If It Wins Out, or Doesn't How this works
Win out
–
<1% likely
One more loss
99%
2% likely
Two or more
9%
98% likely
Winning out is rare in our runs (35 of 10,000), so its odds there are rough.
Games Left
| Game | Win | If W | If L | Only L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs SeahawksSun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET | 24% | 24% | 8% | – |
| at BroncosSun, Nov 22 | 26% | 28% | 6% | – |
| at BrownsSun, Nov 29 | 45% | 21% | 3% | – |
| vs ChargersSun, Dec 13 | 51% | 19% | 4% | – |
| vs BroncosSun, Dec 20 | 31% | 26% | 5% | – |
| vs TitansSun, Dec 27 | 58% | 17% | 3% | – |
| at CardinalsSun, Jan 3 | 59% | 19% | 5% | – |
| at ChiefsSun, Jan 10 | 28% | 28% | 6% | – |
Division Title
| Finish | Chance | Playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins the AFC West | 2% | >99% |
| Does not win it | 98% | 9% |
Who to Root For
This Week
- Falcons over Chiefs13% if ATL wins, 10% if KC does · ATL 37% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET+3pts
- Lions over Patriots13% if DET wins, 10% if NE does · DET 53% to win · Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET+2pts
Later This Season
- Jets over Broncos15% if NYJ wins, 10% if DEN does · NYJ 28% to win · Sun, Dec 13+4pts
- Dolphins over Broncos15% if MIA wins, 10% if DEN does · MIA 17% to win · Sun, Dec 6+4pts
- Bills over Broncos13% if BUF wins, 10% if DEN does · BUF 58% to win · Fri, Dec 25+3pts
Road to the Title
| Round | Chance |
|---|---|
| Makes the playoffs | 11% |
| Reaches the divisional round | 4% |
| Reaches the conference title game | 1% |
| Reaches the Super Bowl | <1% |
| Wins the Super Bowl | <1% |